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Libertarian Party of California Voter Registration: Difference between revisions
Libertarian Party of California Voter Registration (view source)
Revision as of 23:07, 6 February 2024
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The specific implications of being a "qualified" party have varied over time as the system used for primary elections has changed. The [[Libertarian Party of California]] has been a qualified party since 1980, and the LP is often described as having "ballot access" in California, but this does not have the same meaning as in some other states. Except with respect to presidential elections, where qualified party status enables the LPC to place the LP's nominee on the November ballot, the LPC does not have the power to place any candidate on the ballot in either the primary or the general election. Under the current system, for all other offices for which a party label is allowed on the ballot, all candidates of any party, as well as candidates who want to run without a party label, must individually pay a substantial filing fee or circulate a petition with a significant number of signatures before their name appears on the ballot, and these requirements are the same regardless of party. Also, party status plays no role in elections at the county and lower levels -- all such elections in California are "non-partisan". | The specific implications of being a "qualified" party have varied over time as the system used for primary elections has changed. The [[Libertarian Party of California]] has been a qualified party since 1980, and the LP is often described as having "ballot access" in California, but this does not have the same meaning as in some other states. Except with respect to presidential elections, where qualified party status enables the LPC to place the LP's nominee on the November ballot, the LPC does not have the power to place any candidate on the ballot in either the primary or the general election. Under the current system, for all other offices for which a party label is allowed on the ballot, all candidates of any party, as well as candidates who want to run without a party label, must individually pay a substantial filing fee or circulate a petition with a significant number of signatures before their name appears on the ballot, and these requirements are the same regardless of party. Also, party status plays no role in elections at the county and lower levels -- all such elections in California are "non-partisan". | ||
The main implications of registering with a political party under California's current election system for state and federal offices are: (1) Only a candidate who is registered with a party may have that party's name listed by their name on the ballot. (2) This party affiliation information is maintained by each county, and is available for use by candidates and political committees (including the LPC and its local organizations) for campaigning, fundraising, and related activities. In addition, the LPC itself has a rule that for a member to have voting status with respect to internal party business, that person | The main implications of registering with a political party under California's current election system for state and federal offices are: (1) Only a candidate who is registered with a party may have that party's name listed by their name on the ballot. (2) This party affiliation information is maintained by each county, and is available for use by candidates and political committees (including the LPC and its local organizations) for campaigning, fundraising, and related activities. In addition, the LPC itself has a rule that for a member to have voting status with respect to internal party business, that person must be registered to vote as a Libertarian, if eligible. | ||
==History== | ==History== | ||
[[File:LPC-hist-regvot- | [[File:LPC-hist-regvot-202401.png]] | ||
Voter registration counts vary over time not only because of changing levels of actual support, but also for technical reasons. Many people register to vote in the time shortly before a major election, often resulting in temporary spikes in counts. Removal of names from the voter rolls in an effort to weed out people who are no longer actually eligible to vote in a given area, either on an ongoing basis or in the form of occasional "purges", can cause declines in the counts that don't reflect any real decline in support. Also increases in the number of registered voters take place in the context of a generally increasing population. This graph shows both the absolute number of voters registered Libertarian (scale on the left) and the fraction of all registered voters who were registered as Libertarians (scale on the right). | Voter registration counts vary over time not only because of changing levels of actual support, but also for technical reasons. Many people register to vote in the time shortly before a major election, often resulting in temporary spikes in counts. Removal of names from the voter rolls in an effort to weed out people who are no longer actually eligible to vote in a given area, either on an ongoing basis or in the form of occasional "purges", can cause declines in the counts that don't reflect any real decline in support. Also increases in the number of registered voters take place in the context of a generally increasing population. This graph shows both the absolute number of voters registered Libertarian (scale on the left) and the fraction of all registered voters who were registered as Libertarians (scale on the right). | ||
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=== 2000-present === | === 2000-present === | ||
Both because of continued growth in the number of registered Libertarians and because of a change in the law which reduced the number required, the LPC's retention of qualified party status by this measure is no longer an issue. As of | Both because of continued growth in the number of registered Libertarians and because of a change in the law which reduced the number required, the LPC's retention of qualified party status by this measure is no longer an issue. As of 2024, the Libertarian voter count is about three times the required number. | ||
After a moderate decline in the early 2000s, statewide Libertarian registration then began rising again both in absolute numbers and as a fraction of all registered voters. This increase has been fairly steady starting in 2008, but included significant jumps associated with the 2012 and | After a moderate decline in the early 2000s, statewide Libertarian registration then began rising again both in absolute numbers and as a fraction of all registered voters. This increase has been fairly steady starting in 2008, but included significant jumps associated with the 2012, 2016, and 2020 presidential elections. From the mid-2008 low to January 2024 (the most recent report available), the absolute count has approximately tripled, and the Libertarian fraction of all registered voters is now above one percent. | ||
Since this recent period has not included any large-scale attempts to boost Libertarian registration for its own sake, it seems reasonable to attribute this increase over the past decade to other factors, such as: (1) increasing awareness and/or sympathy for the Libertarian brand, (2) dissatisfaction with the more established parties, and (3) a continuing replacement in the voter rolls of records representing people who were simply maintaining a past affiliation by default, with records representing people who have more recently had reason to make a choice, whether that be because they were newly eligible to vote or because they re-registered as a result of a move. | Since this recent period has not included any large-scale attempts to boost Libertarian registration for its own sake, it seems reasonable to attribute this increase over the past decade to other factors, such as: (1) increasing awareness and/or sympathy for the Libertarian brand, (2) dissatisfaction with the more established parties, and (3) a continuing replacement in the voter rolls of records representing people who were simply maintaining a past affiliation by default, with records representing people who have more recently had reason to make a choice, whether that be because they were newly eligible to vote or because they re-registered as a result of a move. | ||
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There are currently six qualified parties in California. The Democratic Party has the largest number of registered voters by a significant margin, followed by the Republicans. In third place is the American Independent Party. The LP is in fourth place, followed by the Peace and Freedom Party and then the Greens. | There are currently six qualified parties in California. The Democratic Party has the largest number of registered voters by a significant margin, followed by the Republicans. In third place is the American Independent Party. The LP is in fourth place, followed by the Peace and Freedom Party and then the Greens. | ||
[[File: | [[File:CA_regbypartyhistory_2023-02-10.png]] | ||
Notes on the graph: | Notes on the graph: | ||
* The vertical axis is ''logarithmic''. | * The vertical axis is ''logarithmic''. | ||
* All figures are from reports of registration published by the Secretary of State. | * All figures are from reports of registration published by the Secretary of State.<ref>SOS web site: https://www.sos.ca.gov/elections/voter-registration/voter-registration-statistics;<br>spreadsheet corresponding to graph: [[Media:CA_reg-by-party_2020-09-04.ods]]</ref> | ||
* This graph shows counts for the parties that are currently qualified. There were two other parties qualified during part of this time period (Reform, Natural Law) and California allows voters to write in the name of an unqualified party; these voters are not included in the counts shown. | * This graph shows counts for the parties that are currently qualified. There were two other parties qualified during part of this time period (Reform, Natural Law) and California allows voters to write in the name of an unqualified party; these voters are not included in the counts shown. | ||
Significant trends over the past two decades: | Significant trends over the past two decades: | ||
* The Republicans have gone from roughly comparable with the Democrats to a very clear second place. (This corresponds to the parties' relative success in state government, where the Democrats currently hold all the statewide offices as well as a super-majority in both houses of the legislature.) | * The Republicans have gone from roughly comparable with the Democrats to a very clear second place. (This corresponds to the parties' relative success in state government, where the Democrats currently hold all the statewide offices as well as a super-majority in both houses of the legislature.) | ||
* The number of independent voters (official term "no party preference", formerly "decline to state") has risen, | * The number of independent voters (official term "no party preference", formerly "decline to state") has risen, and for a time exceeded the number of Republicans, but seems to have leveled off in the past few years, at approximately even with Republicans. | ||
* The Greens, after showing significant growth in the early 2000s, | * The Greens, after showing significant growth in the early 2000s, were on the decline for a while and are now in last place. | ||
* | * All four of the smaller parties (American Independent, Green, Libertarian, Peace and Freedom) have shown slow but steady growth over the past several years. | ||
[[Category: Voter Registration Statistics]] | [[Category: Voter Registration Statistics]] | ||